Joe Biden will issue sanctions Monday on two areas declared ‘independent’ republics by Russian President Vladimir Putin. This is his first step towards full-scale invasion. 

Jen Psaki White House Press Secretary assured there would be additional coordination with U.S allies and partners in case Russia invades Ukraine.

She wrote that she was continuing to consult closely with Allies, partners, and Ukraine on the next steps, and Russia’s ongoing aggression along Ukraine’s border.

Biden called Volodymyr Zelesky, the Ukrainian president, almost instantly and convened an NSC meeting after Vladimir Putin attacked America for “colonizing” Ukraine. He also accused them of using Ukraine as a puppet regime in comments where he said he would sign a decree that recognizes two of Ukraine’s eastern regions as independent states. 

The President also jumped onto a secure conversation with French President Emmanuel Macron, and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz. This was approximately half an hour after Putin’s statements.

Putin’s acceptance of Donetsk, Luhansk rebel areas’ independence opens up for the Russian invasion. This effectively disintegrates the Minsk Peace Agreements. Russia can sign treaties and send weapons and troops to the region to defend itself against Ukrainian “threats”.

U.S intelligence warned that Putin will use this method to hide his invasion in Ukraine for many weeks.

Putin complained Monday in his speech that America was ‘pumping’ weapons into Ukraine. He also said it poses a threat Russia as he believes Kyiv has created ‘weapons to mass destruction.

Psaki stated Monday, following Putin’s comments that “We had expected a move such as this from Russia” and she was prepared to immediately respond.

President Biden will issue soon an Executive order that will ban new investments, trade and funding by U.S. personnel to, from, and in the so called DNR and LNR region of Ukraine. She also added that the Departments of State and Treasury would have more details within the next few days.

“We will soon announce additional steps related to the blatant violation by Russia of its international obligations today,” Psaki said.

21 members of Congress, including 21 from both parties, pledged Monday that they would work to create emergency legislation which will be most supportive of NATO allies and people in Ukraine.

They wrote that despite what might happen in the future, they must ensure that Putin’s dictator and his corrupt oligarchs will pay a terrible price for their actions.

Zelensky stated that he spoke to Biden Monday afternoon about ‘the last hours’.

He posted: “We start the meeting of National Security and Defense Council,” adding that ‘A conversation is with [UK Prime Minister] Boris Johnson is also planned.’

According to the White House, Biden had a call of approximately 35 minutes with Zelelnsky. 

On Monday morning, General Mark Milley was seen arriving as Chairman of Joint Chiefs of Staff. Lloyd Austin, Defense Secretary and Antony Blinken arrived at the White House West Wing.

A White House official said that President Biden was meeting today with his National Security Team at the White House and being updated on recent developments in Russia and Ukraine. 

The White House announced Monday President Joe Biden will sign an Executive Order issuing economic sanctions on the two regions Russia just declared it recognizes as independent 'republics' in Eastern Ukraine

Monday’s announcement by the White House that President Joe Biden would sign an Executive Order to impose economic sanctions on two Russian regions it has just recognized as independent “republics” within Eastern Ukraine was made.

Joe Biden

Volodymyr Zelensky

The President of USA Joe Biden called Volodymyr Zelesky, the Ukrainian President on Monday for a 30-minute conversation. He ‘discussed events in the last hour’ following Russia’s first step toward invasion.

Russian President Vladimir Putin gave a televised address Monday and explained he would sign a decree recognizing the Donetsk and Luhansk rebel regions in Eastern Ukraine as independent 'republics'

Russian President Vladimir Putin gave a televised address Monday and explained he would sign a decree recognizing the Donetsk and Luhansk rebel regions in Eastern Ukraine as independent ‘republics’

Biden met with his National Security Council to discuss recent developments in Eastern Europe. The west still hopes for a diplomatic way forward.

Putin assembled his circle of friends on Monday, as top aides continued to warn him against meeting with President Joe Biden. 

Putin stated that they had been in negotiations for 8 years and added, “We have reached an impasse.”

This move will fuel tensions with the West, and reduce diplomatic options to avoid war. It is an explicit rejection a ceasefire of seven years mediated France and Germany. However, it remains the basis for future negotiations about the larger crisis.

Last week, Secretary of State Antony Blinken stated that Russia would need to respond quickly and in coordination with its Allies and allies if it took the same action as it did Monday.

It would also undermine Ukraine’s sovereignty, which used to be a Soviet Bloc country.

Biden met Monday with his national security staff to discuss the matter, after being rebuffed earlier that day at a summit between Putin and him.

France claims to have arranged a meeting between these leaders next week. The White House accepted this ‘in principle’ before the Kremlin stated that talks are ‘premature and there were no concrete plans.

It’s the second time French President Emmanuel Macron has fallen prey to Moscow, having tried to present himself as Europe’s most important security negotiator.

Macron claimed that Putin agreed to halt military drills at Ukraine’s borders two weeks prior, which Russia instantly denied.

According to the Kremlin, Macron and Olaf Scholz expressed disappointment at Putin’s decision during phone conversations with Russian President.

Putin convened a meeting with his top security officials Monday where he called them up one by one to lay out the case for recognizing eastern Ukrainian regions as independent republics – seemingly aimed at persuading a skeptical public of the need to attack

Putin convened a meeting with his top security officials Monday where he called them up one by one to lay out the case for recognizing eastern Ukrainian regions as independent republics – seemingly aimed at persuading a skeptical public of the need to attack

U.S. intelligence has long warned that Russia would invade Ukraine by saying it needs to protect the interests of separatist ethnic Russians and Russian-speakers in the country. A handout image shows Russian cruiser Moskva  conducting an artillery battle and destroying a mock enemy submarine in the Black Sea near Sevastopol, Crimea on February 18, 2022

U.S. intelligence warned for years that Russia could invade Ukraine, stating it must protect the interests Russian-speakers and separatist ethnic Russians in Ukraine. A handout image shows Russian cruiser Moskva  conducting an artillery battle and destroying a mock enemy submarine in the Black Sea near Sevastopol, Crimea on February 18, 2022

Putin’s Donetsk-Luhansk regions are a reminder of how these areas became separatists 

(SOURCE ASSOCIATED POST)

Fears of Russia invading Ukraine have sparked tensions in Ukraine’s east. Here, Ukrainian forces are involved in an ongoing conflict with Russia-backed separatists.

In eight years of conflict, more than 14,000 have been killed. Recent skirmishes suggest that Moscow may use the current situation to pretext an incursion. President Vladimir Putin said Monday he was mulling the recognition of the rebel regions´ independence, a move that would further ratchet up tensions with the West.

This is an overview of the rebel-controlled areas in eastern Ukraine.

SEPARATIST REBELLION AT THE EAST

In February 2014, mass protests forced the removal of Ukraine’s Moscow friendly president. Russia then annexed Ukraine’s Crimean Peninsula. Russia then supported the Donbas insurgency, a predominantly Russian-speaking region in eastern Ukraine.

Russia-backed rebels took control of government buildings in Donetsk, Luhansk, declared the founding of “people’s republics”, and fought Ukrainian troops and volunteers.

Separatists in the regions had a vote of confidence to proclaim their independence and to try to be part of Russia. Moscow did not accept the motion. It used the territories to protect Ukraine and stop it joining NATO.

The West and Ukraine accused Russia of supporting rebels with weapons and troops. Moscow denied it, declaring that all Russians involved in fighting the rebels were volunteers.

Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 was destroyed over Eastern Ukraine in a fierce battle involving heavy artillery, tanks and planes on July 17, 2014. All 298 passengers were killed. A probe by international experts concluded that the missile supplied from Russia to the rebel-controlled territories in Ukraine caused the downing of the passenger plane. Moscow denied involvement.

Separatists in the regions had a vote of confidence to proclaim their independence and to try to be part of Russia. Moscow did not accept the motion. It used the territories to protect Ukraine and stop it joining NATO.

The West and Ukraine accused Russia of supporting rebels with weapons and troops. Moscow denied it, declaring that all Russians involved in fighting the rebels were volunteers.

On July 17, 2014, Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 crashed over Eastern Ukraine, killing 298 of its passengers. A probe by international experts concluded that the missile supplied from Russia to the rebel-controlled territories in Ukraine caused the downing of the passenger plane. Moscow denied involvement.

EASTERN UKRAINE PEACE AGREMENTS

In September 2014, after a major defeat by Ukrainian forces, envoys from Kyiv and the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, along with rebels and the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, signed a truce in Minsk (Belarus), which was in response to the invasion of Ukrainian troops in august 2014.

The OSCE-observed cease fire, withdrawal of foreign fighters, exchange of hostages, amnesty for rebels, and the promise of some autonomy by separatist regions were all part of this document.

This deal collapsed quickly and heavy fighting resumed. It led to another significant defeat of Ukrainian forces at Debaltseve between January and February 2015.

France and Germany brokered a second peace agreement. It was signed in Minsk by the representatives of Ukraine (Russia) and rebels in February 2015. This agreement contemplated a new ceasefire, the pullback of heavy weaponry and several steps towards a political resolution. Leaders of Russia, Ukraine and France signed an agreement supporting the deal.

UKRAINE FROZEN CONFLICT

In 2015, the Kremlin achieved a diplomatic coup. Ukraine was obliged to accord special status to the separatists, giving them the ability to set up their own police force as well as the power to choose local judges and prosecutors. The agreement also stipulated that Ukraine would not regain control of the 200-kilometer border (125-miles) with Russia in rebel areas until they are self-rule, and have OSCE-monitored elections. This balloting will almost certain keep pro-Moscow separatists in power.

It is seen by many Ukrainians as a violation of their national interests, and it has been stalled.

While the Minsk Document helped stop full-scale fighting however, the situation remains tense. Regular skirmishes continue.

Moscow is now unable to leverage rebel territories to direct influence Ukraine’s affairs. The Minsk Agreement has been stalled and Moscow has no other options but to try to influence Ukraine’s internal politics through the use of these regions. But the conflict has depleted Kyiv’s resources, effectively stopping it from joining NATO, which is an objective that has been enshrined into the Ukrainian constitution.

Moscow has also worked hard to protect its control over rebel areas by distributing more than 720,000 Russian passports, roughly to one-fifth their estimated population of 3.6 million. Although it has offered financial and economic assistance to separatist territories, the help has not been sufficient to mitigate the huge damage caused by fighting or to strengthen the economy. The Donbas region accounted for about 16% of Ukraine´s GDP before the conflict.

EFFORTS TO REVIVE THE PEACE DEAL

France and Germany made renewed efforts to ensure compliance with 2015 agreements in an effort to defuse tensions surrounding the Russian troop presence near Ukraine.

Faced with demands from Paris and Berlin for it to be implemented, Ukrainian officials have reaffirmed their opposition to Minsk and threatened that the deal could cause the country’s downfall. There have been no results from two rounds of negotiations in Paris and Berlin among presidential envoys representing Russia, Ukraine and France.

Last week, Putin was urged by the Russian lower house to recognise the autonomy of Ukraine’s rebel areas.

PUTIN MULLS REGAIN REBEL REGIONS’ INEPENDENCE

Ukraine and Russia accused Moscow, accusing them of inciting the conflict to make it possible for an invasion. Russia accused Ukraine, in turn accusing it of trying to retake the area by force. Kyiv strongly denied this claim.

Separatist leaders made video announcements on Friday, describing the need to evacuate civilians from the face of a Ukrainian invasion. Video data contained in the statement indicated that they had recorded their remarks two days before, while the situation was calm. It suggests that this plan was to try and seperate regions.

The rebel chiefs released new video statements Monday asking Putin to recognize the independence of their region. Putin responded immediately by calling a highly orchestrated meeting with his Security Council in which top officials spoke in favor.

Putin’s recognition of the independent status of the rebel-held areas would be a major blow to the Minsk agreements. It could also further fuel tensions between the West and Russia. Russia could sign agreements with rebel areas in eastern Ukraine, and then openly send troops or weapons to them.

 

Putin had earlier on Monday vowed that he would decide “today” whether Ukraine’s east regions will be recognized as independent states. This was in a remark made at the end of an hour-long meeting of the security council, which was broadcast live on Russian TV.

One by one, top Kremlin security officials were asked to make the case against war. It was presumably done in order to convince a skeptical audience of the importance to strike.

Ministers spent many days staging what were widely thought to be fake flag attacks on Ukrainian soil. Blaming Kyiv for them, they presented Putin the evidence today. They claimed that Russians from Ukraine’s Donetsk, Luhansk, regions face a threat of ‘genocide’ and that no peace agreement can save them.

The spectacle had been staged, and the West was warning that an invasion was imminent. However, keen-eyed viewers saw that Sergei Shoigu the defense minister’s time was five hours behind Moscow. It suggests the hearing was prerecorded.

After earlier videos showing tanks and armored vehicle in battle formations – some less than 3 miles away from the border, all eyes now will be on Ukraine’s borders for proof that Russian troops crossed.

Dymtro Kuleba (defense minister of Ukraine) stated that after the Russian Council meeting, ‘the whole world will be watching’ what Putin does next. He claimed that everyone is aware of the implications of Russia’s recognition and support for separatist regions.

“All of us should focus calmly on the de-escalation efforts. [there is]”No other way,” he wrote.

The U.S. warned the United Nations Security Council about Moscow’s prepared list of targets that could be used to assassinate and imprison detainees in camps.

NBC News reports that Biden officials discussed with Ukrainian officials the need for President Volodymyr Zilensky’s departure from Kyiv should a Russian invasion occur.

Pictured: Biden convened a meeting of the National Security Council on Sunday to discuss the latest developments regarding Russia's expected invasion of Ukraine

Pictured: Biden convened Sunday’s meeting of the National Security Council in order to review the most recent developments concerning Russia’s planned invasion of Ukraine

According to Ukraine’s national police, two Ukrainian soldiers were killed and three others were injured in the shelling attack on Zaitseve. The village is 18 miles from rebel stronghold Donetsk.

Scholz from Germany phoned Putin on Monday and warned him not to recognize the east regions. Also, he said that Putin would have to take responsibility for deescalating tensions by withdrawing troops from the border.

Jake Sullivan, the National Security Advisor to Russia said that Russia intends to ‘crush Ukraine’ if it makes a decision to invade full-scale.

Sullivan said Monday that any military operation with the same scale, extent, and severity as what the Russians believe they are planning would be very violent. It could lead to the deaths of civilians as well Russians.

“But, we also have intelligence that suggests there will be an even more brutal form of war, since this won’t simply be a conventional war between two armsies,” he said.

“Russia will wage war on Ukraine to oppress, crush, and harm its people. This is the detail we gave to the U.N. as we believed that the world needed to mobilize in order counter Russian aggression should the tanks move across the border, which we expect they will in the next hours or days.

The Russian border troops to Ukraine now number around 190,000, with three quarters being conventional. These forces are supported by 500 fighter planes and heavy bombers as well as dozens attack helicopters.

Good Morning America reported that Moscow was moving ahead with its plans to invade the United States after it rejected Biden’s offer of a summit under the caveat Russia must stand down.

He stated that ‘we never lose hope in diplomacy, even if the missiles go off or the tanks start rolling’. ‘But we have been working hard for months with our allies and partners to get Russia to sit down in a serious way at the table – even as recently as yesterday, the president has indicated his readiness to do that. Russia has not been as open to the idea.

‘The likelihood that there’s a diplomatic solution, given the movements – the troop movements of the Russians, is diminishing hour by hour,’ Sullivan added.

“Unfortunately we had to call out at each step of the process what the Russians planned to do, and they did it.