Boris Johnson tonight declared that Christmas can positively go forward ‘cautiously’ – however warned that there are not any ensures concerning the New 12 months. 

Amid rising anger that tens of millions of individuals are being left in limbo, the PM utterly dominated out any additional curbs being launched earlier than December 25.

However he gave discover that the federal government continues to be monitoring the ‘finely balanced’ scenario with Omicron ‘very fastidiously’ and is ‘able to take motion’ afterwards if needed.   

The short-term readability got here after Nicola Sturgeon dramatically cancelled large-scale New 12 months celebrations in Scotland, reintroducing limits on households mixing, desk service in hospitality and crowds at main occasions.

In the meantime, one other 90,629 Covid circumstances had been recorded in 24 hours throughout the UK, together with 172 deaths. An additional 15,363 infections with the Omicron variant have been confirmed, bringing the whole to 60,508 – though the tempo of unfold appears probably slower than initially feared.  

In a press release launched on video this night, Mr Johnson mentioned: ‘What this implies is that individuals can go forward with their Christmas plans however the scenario stays finely balanced and I’d urge everybody to train warning, to maintain defending yourselves and your family members, particularly the weak.

‘And keep in mind to maintain following the steering – put on a masks indoors when required to take action, maintain recent air circulating, and take a check earlier than you go to aged or weak relations.’

Earlier, Rishi Sunak unveiled a £1billion bailout for stricken companies. The Chancellor introduced grants of as much as £6,000 per premises for hospitality and leisure companies being crippled by a wave of cancellations following the emergence of the Omicron pressure. 

The taxpayer may also cowl the price of statutory sick pay for Covid-related absences for corporations with fewer than 250 staff.   

Cupboard had all-but killed off the prospect of a Christmas curbs yesterday by rejecting strain to behave earlier than extra proof seems. 

However there may be hypothesis that the federal government will nonetheless have to act with a ‘circuit breaker’ earlier than New 12 months if the scenario retains deteriorating shortly. 

Medical and science chiefs Chris Whitty and Patrick Vallance are as a result of transient MPs on the state of play with Omicron tonight, in what many will see as an effort to ‘roll the pitch’ for restrictions.  

Ms Sturgeon heaped strain on Mr Johnson by tightening the principles north of the border from December 27, urging individuals to not combine with different households till the tip of the primary week in January – together with Hogmanay. Desk service might be reintroduced in hospitality venues, and there have to be a one-metre hole between teams.  

The SNP chief mentioned crowds at massive public occasions might be restricted for 3 weeks after Boxing Day – with soccer matches successfully changing into ‘spectator free’.  

There was heavy criticism of the declare from SAGE modellers that deaths may attain 6,000 a day within the worst state of affairs, and though every day circumstances have been rising sharply and topped 100,000 on December 15 they’re nonetheless wanting the degrees feared. 

Main statistician Sir David Spiegelhalter has additionally identified that round half of recent Covid admissions in Omicron hotspot London solely examined constructive after arriving at hospital, probably for a distinct ailment – though he careworn they’d nonetheless add to strain on the well being service.

Official figures out right this moment reveal that Covid was talked about on 764 demise certificates registered in England and Wales within the week to December 10 – 4 per cent down from the earlier week and the bottom degree since October.  

On one other intense day of coronavirus drama:

  • 1000’s extra individuals may very well be launched from isolation in time for Christmas as ministers put together to chop the interval from 10 days to seven days; 
  • Sir Jeremy Farrar, a former member of SAGE, has backed the place of ready for one more day to see up to date proof on Omicron;  
  • Mr Johnson’s private ranking have slumped once more, with YouGov discovering a web minus 48 suppose he’s performing nicely – down from minus 35 final month. Simply 22 per cent approve of the federal government with 60 per cent disapproving; 
  • The NHS has given 1,000,000 Covid jabs in a single day for the primary time, however nonetheless seems to be off the tempo to hit the New 12 months goal on boosters;
  • London’s New 12 months’s Eve celebration occasion in Trafalgar Sq. has been axed with Sadiq Khan urging individuals to look at TV as an alternative.
Amid rising anger that millions of people are being left in limbo, the PM completely ruled out any further curbs being introduced before December 25

Amid rising anger that tens of millions of individuals are being left in limbo, the PM utterly dominated out any additional curbs being launched earlier than December 25

Boris Johnson (pictured in Downing Street today) has stepped back from imposing punitive lockdown curbs that would have ruined Christmas

Boris Johnson (pictured in Downing Road right this moment) has stepped again from imposing punitive lockdown curbs that might have ruined Christmas

The rush hour at King's Cross in London was quieter than normal this morning amid Covid concerns and with Christmas just a few days away

The frenzy hour at King’s Cross in London was quieter than regular this morning amid Covid considerations and with Christmas just some days away 

Empty tables and chairs at a restaurant in London's West End last night as the hospitality sector faces another crisis

Empty tables and chairs at a restaurant in London’s West Finish final night time because the hospitality sector faces one other disaster

A near-deserted Tube train this morning - with London Mayor Sadiq Khan having already cancelled the New Year celebrations in Trafalgar Square

A near-deserted Tube prepare this morning – with London Mayor Sadiq Khan having already cancelled the New 12 months celebrations in Trafalgar Sq.  

The latest YouGov research has found just 22 per cent approve of the government, with 60 per cent disapproving

The most recent YouGov analysis has discovered simply 22 per cent approve of the federal government, with 60 per cent disapproving

A queue for a vaccination centre at Hampden Park in Glasgow today, with Nicola Sturgeon due to announce whether more restrictions will be brought in for Scotland after Christmas

A queue for a vaccination centre at Hampden Park in Glasgow right this moment, with Nicola Sturgeon as a result of announce whether or not extra restrictions might be introduced in for Scotland after Christmas  

Sturgeon cancels New 12 months in Scotland over Omicron fears 

Nicola Sturgeon right this moment cancelled massive scale New 12 months celebrations in Scotland as she unveiled extra coronavirus restrictions to sluggish the unfold of the Omicron variant.

The Scottish First Minister mentioned the recommendation for Christmas Day stays unchanged, with individuals allowed to fulfill with household however urged to be cautious.

However from December 26 for 3 weeks there might be attendance limits positioned on reside public occasions which can torpedo Hogmanay occasions.

The boundaries is not going to apply to personal life occasions like weddings, however Ms Sturgeon mentioned for indoor standing occasions the restrict might be 100 individuals, for indoor seated occasions will probably be 200 and for out of doors occasions 500 seated or standing.

It will imply that from Boxing Day soccer and different sporting matches in Scotland will successfully be spectator-free.

Ms Sturgeon additionally mentioned that from December 27 the Scottish Authorities is advising individuals to return to limiting their social contacts ‘as a lot as you probably can’ as she urged to nation to ‘please keep at residence’.

Mr Sunak lastly unveiled the help for companies after bars and eating places had been left abandoned following more and more grim warnings from Chris Whitty and different specialists. The spending will make one other dent within the public funds, after new figures revealed right this moment that borrowing has risen above forecasts with the economic system stalling. 

A survey by Ipsos MORI revealed a majority of Britons are actually taking issues into their very own fingers to scale back their probabilities of catching coronavirus, with 58 per cent saying they’ve averted public transport or plan to take action, and 57 per cent saying the identical about going to pubs and eating places, and social gatherings with family and friends. 

Native authorities will administer the £683million of hospitality and leisure grants, with 200,000 companies set to profit – though the standards don’t appear clear. One other £102million will go into discretionary funds, once more managed by city halls, and the emergency fund for cultural organisations will get a £30million enhance. 

The devolved administrations will obtain round £150million of funding via the Barnett system as a part of the help introduced, with round £80million for the Scottish Authorities, £50million for the Welsh Authorities and £25million for the Northern Eire Govt.

Mr Sunak gave a robust trace that the federal government will go additional if extra restrictions are wanted, saying they can not ‘rule something out’.

‘Folks will be capable to take a look at our monitor report during the last yr or two and supporting individuals and companies, particularly within the hospitality trade all through this disaster,’ he informed journalists.

‘I’ll at all times reply proportionately and appropriately to the scenario that we face. Folks can trust in that.

‘The place we are actually we have responded, I feel, generously right this moment, the grants that we have outlined as much as £6,000 are similar to the grants that we supplied for hospitality companies after they had been utterly closed earlier this yr. So, there is a benchmark for you.

‘Additionally, it is necessary to recollect we have now help already in place that lasts all the way in which to subsequent spring.

‘So, for instance, a decreased fee of VAT for the hospitality and tourism sectors, and this yr they’re benefiting from a 75 per cent low cost on their enterprise charges invoice. These kinds of issues final all the way in which to subsequent March to help the trade.’   

Kate Nicholls, chief govt of the UKHospitality trade physique, mentioned: ‘This can be a beneficiant bundle constructing on present hospitality help measures to supply a direct emergency money injection for these companies who, via no fault of their very own, have seen their most dear buying and selling interval annihilated.

‘It would assist to safe jobs and enterprise viability within the brief time period, significantly amongst small companies within the sector, and we significantly welcome the enhance to funds for the provision chain and occasion and enterprise catering corporations so badly affected by the reintroduction of work at home tips.

‘There’s now an actual urgency in getting this funding to companies so we urge native authorities to prioritise distribution of funds to ensure jobs and companies are preserved via this tough interval.’

The president of British Chambers of Commerce, Conservative peer Baroness Ruby McGregor-Smith, known as for readability on who might be eligible.

She informed BBC Radio 4’s World at One: ‘We requested very a lot for grant help, so we’re delighted that grant help has been given, however we do not know but the definition of eligible companies and corporations.’

She added: ‘I feel it’s a good begin. Our concern is round the truth that we want enterprise confidence and we have now received uncertainty.

‘We have to know that we are able to keep open and proceed to commerce and shoppers will return.’

However shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves complained that the federal government had been ‘dragged kicking and screaming’ to providing help.

‘The PM continues to be too distracted by revolt from Tory backbenchers to behave within the public curiosity. Companies and staff are crying out for readability on what restrictions are down the street as many proceed to be hit arduous,’ she mentioned. 

Senior Tories hailed the choice to keep away from fast restrictions this morning, whereas some scientists accused Mr Johnson of ‘caving in’ to sceptics within the Cupboard after ‘dropping authority’ following a sequence of scandals.

Commons Chief Jacob Rees-Mogg is known to have urged the federal government throughout the assembly to ‘belief individuals’ to answer the alarm concerning the speedy unfold of the brand new pressure, relatively than bringing again draconian legal guidelines.

Mr Johnson is claimed to have cautioned that clarification is not going to wash if the NHS is at critical danger of being underwhelmed, however ultimately went with the bulk view amongst his workforce. Critics mentioned he had ‘caved in’, though No10 denied that he was overruled, stressing he didn’t make any agency proposal. 

Mr Johnson was boosted by Sir Jeremy Farrar, a former member of SAGE, backing the place of ready for one more day to see up to date figures on hospitalisations. He informed the Right this moment programme that ‘every of us can do issues right this moment that can make the prospect of additional restrictions lighter’.

UK information greater than 100,000 every day circumstances for first time  

The UK recorded greater than 100,000 Covid circumstances in a single day for the primary time ever final week, new information reveals after the emergence of the extremely transmissible Omicron variant.

A complete of 102,297 individuals examined constructive for the virus final Wednesday, in keeping with backdated Authorities figures — marking the primary time they’ve risen above triple digits formally because the begin of the pandemic.

The determine appears at constructive circumstances by ‘specimen date’, the day somebody took the check, and is totally different from every day reported circumstances introduced by Authorities on daily basis, which appears at when somebody obtained their outcome. 

It will probably take as much as 5 days for the variety of constructive exams on any single day to be totally counted so extra days the place Covid circumstances have breached 100,000 might emerge within the coming days.    

However case numbers are nonetheless nicely under the projections of gloomy Authorities modelling which mentioned there have been as much as 400,000 infections a day final week and that this might rise to 1million by the height this winter.

Doubts about No10 scientific projections are believed to be the rationale Boris Johnson has pumped the brakes on a Christmas lockdown, with ministers ready for extra concrete information on the variant. 

Final Friday, the Division of Well being reported 93,045 new Covid circumstances. Circumstances have barely moved in 4 days and a report 1.5million Britons are being examined for the virus on daily basis at present, which suggests the problem will not be an absence of exams.  

Commons sources mentioned that there was ‘chaos’ popping out of Downing Road about whether or not they need to count on a recall over the Christmas interval. 

After authorities borrowing for November got here in larger than predicted this morning, Cupboard Workplace minister Steve Barclay highlighted the ‘financial penalties’ of extra restrictions. 

Mr Barclay informed BBC Breakfast: ‘The Prime Minister has given a dedication that the place there are extra rules purchased ahead that Parliament could be recalled so that Members of Parliament can scrutinise and debate these points, however we aren’t at that stage.

‘We’re wanting intently on the information and we have to recognise there are financial penalties to additional restrictions.’

With plans for the two-week ‘circuit breaker’ nonetheless mentioned to be on the desk, Mr Johnson final night time warned he needed to ‘reserve the chance’ of additional restrictions to regulate the unfold of Omicron. 

Nonetheless he admitted the information was not clear sufficient to justify motion now.

The PM has promised to seek the advice of parliament on any new authorized curbs and it’s extremely unlikely that MPs may very well be recalled in time to behave earlier than the Christmas break.

A row erupted yesterday over modelling that had appeared to lift the specter of Christmas being ‘cancelled’ for a second yr.

In forecasts leaked over the weekend, the SAGE committee cited modelling that with out speedy motion every day deaths may hit 6,000 within the worst case – and hospital admissions 10,000.

However with large uncertainty over the severity of Omicron, ministers, MPs and specialists rejected the ‘implausible’ predictions.

Tory former chief Iain Duncan Smith referred to SAGE modeller Graham Medley as ‘Graham Meddler’ throughout an interview on BBC Radio 4’s Right this moment programme, though it was not clear if it was a slip of the tongue. 

Mr Duncan Smith mentioned the federal government ought to solely decide primarily based on a ‘wider vary of data on the impact of lockdown’.  

‘We have to perceive the impact of lockdown is dramatic throughout so many areas of individuals’s lives, which equates to the identical as individuals going into hospital,’ he mentioned.

Sir Jeremy, head of the Wellcome Belief, mentioned individuals may take private accountability.

‘Omicron is spreading unbelievably quick. It’s a phenomenal variant transmission,’ he mentioned.

‘There’s nice uncertainty about what’s it going to result in when it comes to strain on the well being system, individuals going to hospital, significantly individuals dying, but additionally what influence is it going to have on the broader society, employees absences, the power to have functioning different providers, so there may be nice uncertainty.

‘My private view is that I feel we are able to wait in the meanwhile till there are extra restrictions formally positioned.’ 

May the New 12 months see a ban on socialising indoors and the Rule of Six exterior? 

Hypothesis is mounting that the federal government may impose a a two-week ‘circuit-breaker’ lockdown in England after Christmas. 

Ministers and officers have apparently pencilled in December 28 as a potential date to set off the brand new curbs. 

The preparations come after SAGE instructed which might successfully re-impose ‘Step 2’ of Boris Johnson’s previous lockdown exit roadmap for 2 weeks.   

It’s unclear which components of ‘Step 2’ may very well be included however a crackdown on indoor social contact is considered because the most definitely transfer. 

Beneath is a breakdown of the measures included within the previous ‘Step 2’ which was in drive in April this yr.  

Ban on indoor socialising: Folks weren’t allowed to socialize indoors, besides with members of the identical family. The rule of six utilized outside.

Curbs on hospitality: Bars, pubs and eating places had been closed indoors however may serve individuals outside the place the rule of six utilized.  

Outlets: All retail remained open, together with hairdressers, magnificence and nail salons. 

Home journey: Folks had been suggested to minimise journey as a lot as potential. 

Training: Early years settings, colleges and faculties had been open for all college students.     

Mr Barclay mentioned there had been a ‘sturdy dialogue’ at Cupboard about how to answer the Omicron risk.

 ‘We’re wanting intently on the information, there may be a lot we nonetheless do not know concerning the severity of Omicron, the way it results in hospital admissions,’ he mentioned.

‘We’re wanting significantly on the London information, there’s a larger prevalence of Omicron significantly in London.’

Requested if he had been amongst members of the Cupboard calling for extra information, Mr Barclay mentioned: ‘I feel it’s proper that the Cupboard has a full and sturdy dialogue.

‘That’s what individuals would count on. It’s proper that we take a look at the stability between defending lives and livelihoods.’

Covid behind only one in 16 deaths in England and Wales, newest figures present

Covid was behind only one in 16 deaths in England and Wales within the two weeks after Omicron first hit Britain as Covid fatalities hit a two-month low, official figures revealed right this moment.

Information from the Workplace for Nationwide Statistics reveals simply 764 of the practically 12,000 fatalities recorded within the two nations had been linked with the virus within the seven days as much as December 10.

The weekly Covid fatalities is the bottom determine recorded in two months, since 713 had been registered within the week to October 15.

These deaths — which embrace any fatality the place the virus was talked about on the certificates — had been recorded within the two weeks after the primary Omicron infections had been recognized within the UK.

Covid deaths are the largest lagging indicator of tendencies in an infection charges, as a result of it takes three to 4 weeks for an contaminated particular person to die from the virus.

How lethal the surge in Omicron circumstances seems to be stays to be seen, with uncertainties about how extreme it’s or how nicely vaccines shield towards critical outcomes.

These key unknowns mixed with rising circumstances have put festive plans into doubt, regardless of the Prime Minister to this point holding off imposing further Covid curbs earlier than Christmas.

 

Nonetheless, Mr Barclay informed LBC he had downsized the variety of members of the family at his personal Christmas celebrations this yr, with solely his in-laws attending.

He disclosed that Mr Sunak will give extra particulars of help for companies later. 

‘The Chancellor was speaking to trade leaders about this very situation final night time. We are going to say extra about this later right this moment,’ he mentioned.

‘We recognise clearly we’re eager to maintain companies open and companies ought to proceed to plan for the bookings they’ve.

‘We completely recognise that via Plan B and the behaviour change there was an influence on these bookings.’ 

A number of ministers – together with Mr Sunak and International Secretary Liz Truss – made clear they had been unwilling to again additional restrictions till there was higher info on the influence of Omicron.

Mr Sunak is known to have resisted measures that would value the economic system billions ‘off the again of knowledge that’s patchy’. Probably the most vocal supporters of a robust response are believed to have been Communities Secretary Michael Gove and Well being Secretary Sajid Javid.

Afterwards Mr Johnson insisted the Authorities was monitoring the information ‘hour by hour’ and that the arguments for taking motion had been ‘very, very finely balanced’.

However he careworn there are nonetheless ‘uncertainties’ across the severity of the brand new pressure, in addition to the speed of hospital admissions related to it and its influence on vaccines.

He added: ‘Sadly I have to say to folks that we must reserve the potential for taking additional motion to guard the general public, to guard public well being, to guard our NHS. We’re all types of issues to maintain Omicron underneath management and we are going to rule nothing out.’

Ministers had been briefed on the digital Cupboard assembly by chief scientific adviser Sir Patrick Vallance and chief medical officer Professor Chris Whitty.

Ms Truss apparently demanded ministers got ‘actually thorough information’ earlier than approving curbs, and insisted there have to be ‘incontrovertible proof that we want extra restrictions’.

Different ministers voicing comparable considerations included Mr Rees-Mogg, Transport Secretary Grant Shapps and Scottish Secretary Alister Jack.

Ms Sturgeon right this moment cancelled massive scale New 12 months celebrations in Scotland as she unveiled extra coronavirus restrictions to sluggish the unfold of the Omicron variant.

The Scottish First Minister mentioned the recommendation for Christmas Day stays unchanged, with individuals allowed to fulfill with household however urged to be cautious.

However from December 26 for 3 weeks there might be attendance limits positioned on reside public occasions which can torpedo Hogmanay occasions.

The boundaries is not going to apply to personal life occasions like weddings, however Ms Sturgeon mentioned for indoor standing occasions the restrict might be 100 individuals, for indoor seated occasions will probably be 200 and for out of doors occasions 500 seated or standing.

It will imply that from Boxing Day soccer and different sporting matches in Scotland will successfully be spectator-free.

Ms Sturgeon additionally mentioned that from December 27 the Scottish Authorities is advising individuals to return to limiting their social contacts ‘as a lot as you probably can’ as she urged to nation to ‘please keep at residence’.

Ms Sturgeon appeared to fireside a shot on the Prime Minister as she mentioned ‘we all know from expertise that if we wait till the information tells us conclusively that we have now an issue… it should already be too late to behave to keep away from that downside’. 

A very quiet road in London's West End last night as people stay at home with just days to go until Christmas

A really quiet street in London’s West Finish final night time as individuals keep at residence with simply days to go till Christmas

Authorities borrowing got here in above expectations at £17.4billion – solely £4.9billion under final yr and the second highest on report

Graph shows London's daily Covid cases by date reported. It reveals they initially shot up when Omicron first emerged, but may now be stabalising despite predictions that infections are doubling every two to three days

Graph reveals London’s every day Covid circumstances by date reported. It reveals they initially shot up when Omicron first emerged, however might now be stabalising regardless of predictions that infections are doubling each two to 3 days

The above graph shows Covid cases recorded in the UK by specimen date, which is the date that a test was carried out. It reveals 100,000 people who took swabs last Wednesday tested positive for the virus

The above graph reveals Covid circumstances recorded within the UK by specimen date, which is the date {that a} check was carried out. It reveals 100,000 individuals who took swabs final Wednesday examined constructive for the virus

Covid isolation may very well be lower to seven days 

Ministers are set to announce a significant shake-up of Covid guidelines by slashing the variety of self-isolation days to seven, in a bid to cease employees shortages grinding the nation to a halt this Christmas.

Authorities specialists are reportedly set to agree new recommendation which can see the self-isolation interval lower by three days – convey it down from 10 days to seven.

Nonetheless these self-isolating might want to have destructive lateral stream exams on day six and 7 with the intention to be eligible for early launch.

It comes after epidemiologist Professor Neil Ferguson earlier this week backed the change, saying it will ‘not cut back the effectiveness of the measures that a lot’ if coupled with testing.

Well being Secretary Sajid Javid has additionally reportedly been pushing arduous for the discount. An announcement is anticipated ‘imminently’.

A Cupboard supply mentioned: ‘There’s extra information approaching Wednesday, so that ought to make hopefully the image a bit clearer and selections simpler to make.’  

Tory former chief whip Mark Harper mentioned that ‘not telling the general public what is going on on is unacceptable’ as he mentioned ‘we are able to achieve this significantly better than this’. 

SAGE social behaviour professional Stephen Reicher lashed out at Mr Johnson right this moment, saying he had ‘caved in’ to lockdown-sceptic ministers and Tory MPs.

‘The arguments are very very finely balanced says ‘do nothing’ Johnson. On the one hand you’ve got a scientific consensus that present measures are insufficient and that motion is required now. You’ve the NHS crying out in alarm. You’ve companies crying out for help,’ Prof Reicher mentioned. 

‘However you’ve got the precise of the Tory Social gathering which threatens rise up. And the Prime Minister, who has misplaced political authority over his personal occasion, simply as he has misplaced ethical authority over the nation, caves in to the latter That is not balanced It is utterly unhinged.’ 

Mr Johnson was underneath strain from his SAGE specialists to roll out further curbs after they delivered dire warnings about what’s going to occur if the PM fails to behave urgently. 

However different specialists right this moment slammed as ‘fictitious’ projections of 6,000 every day Covid deaths and 10,000 hospitalisations this winter in a worst-case state of affairs. 

Coronavirus circumstances have additionally been across the 90,000 mark for 4 days now, after specialists predicted they’d double each two days. 

It has additionally emerged that ministers are contemplating slashing isolation for these with Covid from 10 days to seven days as a result of fears Omicron will cripple the economic system.   

In line with Authorities modelling, as much as 2million individuals may very well be catching the ultra-transmissible variant per day throughout the peak this winter.

There are rising fears it may push the nation right into a de facto lockdown with so many isolating with delicate sickness, even when hospitals aren’t overwhelmed.

Sources say the change in coverage is ‘being checked out’ and Well being Secretary Sajid Javid is considered desirous to shorten the isolation timeframe as hospitals and companies battle as a result of absent staff.

The dearth of a remaining choice by Mr Johnson on further curbs means it now appears unlikely that additional restrictions might be rolled out earlier than Christmas however there are mounting fears of a crackdown instantly after December 25. 

The PM has promised that MPs will get a vote on any extra guidelines however Parliament is now in recess and recalling the Home of Commons, holding a debate after which voting would take an estimated 48 hours. 

Saying curbs any later than right this moment would due to this fact run the chance of individuals being informed to observe new guidelines after they’ve already travelled to see household for Christmas. 

The Instances reported that Mr Johnson and the Cupboard delayed a choice as a result of they weren’t but satisfied the newest Omicron information justified saying new restrictions. 

Can we afford one other lockdown? Borrowing rises as economic system stalls 

The grim state of the general public funds was laid naked right this moment because the Covid surge and Omicron variant hammers the economic system.

Authorities borrowing got here in above expectations at £17.4billion – solely £4.9billion under final yr and the second highest on report.

In the meantime, the nation’s debt pile had reached £2.32trillion by the tip of the month – equal to 96.1 per cent of GDP, the worst ratio since 1963.

The grim image comes amid mounting fears that the resurgence of the virus has derailed the restoration. 

Nonetheless, the newspaper mentioned the Authorities may decide to impose a two-week circuit-breaker lockdown in England after Christmas, probably beginning on December 28. 

It was reported on Saturday that Whitehall officers had drawn up rules which might successfully re-impose ‘Step 2’ of the PM’s lockdown exit roadmap for 2 weeks.  

That might imply a ban on indoor socialising and a return of the rule of six for out of doors gatherings. Bars, pubs and eating places could be banned from serving individuals indoors. 

The delay in Mr Johnson’s choice on further curbs prompted a cut up inside the Cupboard, with Sajid Javid warning ministers that no choice was a choice in itself. The Well being Secretary requested specialists to ‘kick the tyres’ of presidency modelling however they had been unable to reassure him that the variant is much less extreme, stories the Instances.

However Jacob Rees-Mogg insisted that the general public needs to be trusted to make their very own selections as to how greatest to guard themselves and the household, relatively than imposing extra restrictions. He additionally criticised SAGE modelling whereas saying that there was not sufficient proof to suggests new Covid measures had been needed. 

The Prime Minister convened the assembly of his prime workforce as he confronted a rising Cupboard revolt over potential additional Covid guidelines. 

The PM had been offered with three choices to deal with the variant amid surging case numbers, with the bottom degree of intervention consisting of recommendation to restrict family mixing indoors, in keeping with The Telegraph.

The second degree would see necessary restrictions on family mixing, the return of social distancing and an 8pm curfew for pubs and eating places whereas the third and hardest degree would see a return to one thing near a full lockdown. 

Mr Johnson is now contemplating his subsequent transfer, figuring out that any choice to tighten Covid guidelines will spark a livid Tory backlash. 

Downing Road at lunchtime refused to be drawn on the proposals that are reportedly into consideration, with the Prime Minister’s Official Spokesman telling reporters: ‘At this level we’re nonetheless monitoring the information and retaining a really shut eye on it… we might replace if any selections are taken.’

Boris Johnson has been presented with three options to slow the spread of the Omicron variant with the PM reportedly clearing his diary today for crunch meetings with scientists and advisers

Boris Johnson has been offered with three choices to sluggish the unfold of the Omicron variant with the PM reportedly clearing his diary right this moment for crunch conferences with scientists and advisers

Dominic Raab, the Deputy Prime Minister and Justice Secretary, today refused to rule out more curbs being introduced before Christmas

Dominic Raab, the Deputy Prime Minister and Justice Secretary, right this moment refused to rule out extra curbs being launched earlier than Christmas

Specialists slam SAGE’s ‘fictitious’ doomsday state of affairs

Modelling by SAGE was right this moment slammed as ‘fictitious’ after projecting 6,000 every day Covid deaths and 10,000 hospitalisations this winter in a worst-case state of affairs. 

In recommendation to ministers revealed this weekend, the Authorities’s scientific advisers mentioned there may very well be astronomical casualty numbers with out extra ‘stringent measures’. 

SAGE’s modelling workforce on the London Faculty of Hygiene and Tropical Medication discovered there may very well be 10,400 hospitalisations in England per day on the peak of the outbreak in February in a worst-case state of affairs.

They assumed that Omicron will proceed to develop exponentially even underneath Plan B curbs, two jabs provide simply 50 per cent safety towards extreme illness from the mutant pressure and boosters simply 80 per cent. 

The 6,000 deaths a day determine was calculated by Warwick College scientists and made equally pessimistic assumptions about vaccine effectiveness, in addition to that present curbs cut back transmission by simply 20 per cent . 

If each of those predictions had been to return true, it will imply that 60 per cent of people that get admitted for Covid within the coming months will die.

By comparability, on the peak final January there have been on common 4,000 admissions a day and 1,300 deaths giving a hospital-fatality fee of 32.5 per cent. Warwick mentioned it factored in ‘excessive strain’ placed on the NHS by Omicron. 

The worst-case eventualities had been offered regardless of 48.8 per cent of over-12s being boosted, 81 per cent being double-jabbed, and stories from South Africa that the mutant pressure is milder.  

Crucially, the modellers didn’t take a look at any state of affairs wherein Omicron causes milder illness than Delta or if individuals begin to change their behaviour within the coming weeks in response to the variant.  

SAGE’s chief modeller Professor Graham Medley from LSHTM revealed this weekend that the committee doesn’t think about optimistic eventualities as a result of ‘that does not get selections made’. 

An ex-Authorities scientist who wished to stay nameless right this moment informed MailOnline that the numbers are ‘fictitious’, including: ‘Fashions must simplify the world to foretell the long run, however clearly that is an absurd futureThey mentioned the doomsday eventualities had been similar to ‘science fiction’, including: ‘However we do not are likely to query it as a result of we worship numbers’.

Professor Carl Heneghan, director of evidence-based drugs at Oxford College and a GP, mentioned this morning that ‘we’re in deep, deep hassle of doubtless speaking ourselves into annual lockdowns’ as he argued the query needs to be ‘when are we going to deal with individuals like adults?’. 

However Stephen Reicher, professor of psychology on the College of St Andrews and a member of presidency advisory physique the Scientific Pandemic Insights Group on Behaviours (Spi-B), mentioned ‘we have to cut back our contacts’.

Requested about Christmas, he mentioned: ‘The most secure factor is to not meet up earlier than Christmas. In order for you a superb Christmas dinner, I’d say be very cautious about assembly up earlier than Christmas.’ 

At the very least 10 Cupboard ministers are mentioned to be resisting additional curbs as a result of they’ve considerations concerning the accuracy of professional modelling on the unfold of Omicron. 

Chancellor Rishi Sunak is without doubt one of the ministers to have expressed considerations concerning the projected numbers, in keeping with The Instances, after SAGE warned there may very well be 3,000 sufferers a day in want of hospital remedy with out pressing motion. 

Sir Patrick Vallance, the Authorities’s Chief Scientific Adviser, informed the Cupboard on a name on Saturday that curbs needs to be rolled out as quickly as potential however one third of senior ministers are mentioned to be towards the transfer.  

Deputy Prime Minister Dominic Raab this morning refused to rule out extra restrictions earlier than Christmas Day as he mentioned he couldn’t make ‘arduous, quick ensures’. He mentioned the Authorities is aiming to take ‘knowledgeable selections and naturally we wish to take them earlier relatively than later’. 

Tory MPs final night time mentioned any try to toughen guidelines earlier than Christmas will provoke letters in search of to oust Mr Johnson as occasion chief.  

The warnings got here simply 24 hours after Lord Frost, thus far an in depth ally of Mr Johnson, dramatically give up as Brexit Minister slating ‘coercive’ Covid curbs and excessive taxes.  

Lord Frost walked out with a parting shot on the ‘course of journey’ and saying he had hoped the tip of lockdown could be ‘irreversible’. His departure was described as a ‘watershed second’ in what had been an especially damaging week for Mr Johnson.

Right this moment’s coronavirus statistics confirmed there had been an extra 91,743 lab-confirmed Covid-19 circumstances within the UK as of 9am this morning. The Authorities mentioned an extra 44 individuals had died. 

The UK Well being Safety Company (UKHSA) mentioned there had been 8,044 extra confirmed circumstances of the Omicron variant, bringing the whole confirmed circumstances of the variant within the UK to 45,145.   

Households are determined to spend Christmas collectively after final yr’s Covid lockdown guidelines meant tens of millions had been compelled to be aside or severely cut back their celebrations.

It’s understood Mr Johnson is resisting requires restrictions forward of December 25, however there are mounting fears they are going to be imposed after that, spoiling New 12 months plans for tens of millions. 

Sajid Javid yesterday repeatedly declined to rule out imposing powerful restrictions earlier than Christmas as he warned there are ‘no ensures’ Christmas Day will go forward with out a lockdown. 

The Well being Secretary acknowledged that information concerning the Omicron variant remained incomplete – however instructed it is likely to be essential to make selections earlier than a full image is offered.  

Sir Patrick Vallance, the Government's Chief Scientific Adviser, told the Cabinet during a call on Saturday that hospital admissions in England could reach 3,000 a day unless further curbs are introduced

Sir Patrick Vallance, the Authorities’s Chief Scientific Adviser, informed the Cupboard throughout a name on Saturday that hospital admissions in England may attain 3,000 a day except additional curbs are launched

In different coronavirus developments:  

Mark Harper, chairman of the Covid Recovery Group of lockdown-sceptic Tory MPs, urged ministers to 'hold firm' against more restrictions and not make any 'knee-jerk restrictions'

Former Tory leader Sir Iain Duncan Smith said there was 'no evidence' for restrictions to be brought in ahead of Christmas

Mark Harper (left), chairman of the Covid Restoration Group of lockdown-sceptic Tory MPs, urged ministers to ‘maintain agency’ towards extra restrictions and never make any ‘knee-jerk restrictions’. In the meantime former Tory chief Sir Iain Duncan Smith (proper) mentioned there was ‘no proof’ for restrictions to be introduced in forward of Christmas