Survey shows that a majority of climate scientists predict a ‘catastrophic 3C rise in global temperatures… and only 4% believe the world will reach its goal of limiting global warming to 1.5C.

  • Two thirds (or three quarters) of IPCC scientists believe the planet will reach 3C.
  • One in 25 people thought that the global target for under 1.5C would be met
  • The Cop26 climate conference opens with a bleak outlook

The majority of climate scientists advising the Cop26 summit fear the world is on course to warm by a ‘catastrophic’ 3C.

Nearly two-thirds of scientists from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, (IPCC), who responded to a survey, said that they expected the planet’s temperature to rise by this amount.

The survey shows that people are skeptical that governments will significantly slow down global warming, despite the promises made by leaders under the 2015 Paris climate accord.

The bleak view of the scientists comes as the international community descends on Glasgow for the Cop26 climate summit which aims to keep global heating to 1.5C above preindustrial levels

The scientists’ grim outlook is revealed as the international community descends upon Glasgow for the Cop26 Climate Summit. The summit aims at keeping global heating to 1.5C above preindustrial levels.

Only 4 percent of the scientists believed that the world would achieve the goal of limiting the global warming to 1.5C.

The latest IPCC climate science report, which was approved by 195 countries, found that fossil fuel emissions are causing global changes. This is a threat to people and the ecosystems we rely upon for our food and other resources.

The anonymous survey was conducted by Nature journal and included 233 authors who were part of the IPCC working groups.

The participation of the 92 scientists did not represent the IPCC.

Sixty percent said they expected the world to heat by at least 3C by 2050, compared with pre-industrial times.

The latest IPCC climate-science report, approved by 195 governments, concluded that fossil fuel emissions are driving planetary changes (file image)

The latest IPCC climate-science reports, which were approved by 195 governments, concluded fossil fuel emissions are causing planetary changes (file photo).

And 88 per cent said the world was experiencing a ‘climate crisis’, while nearly as many said they expected to see catastrophic impacts of climate change in their lifetime.

Over two fifths (41%) of respondents said that global warming has made them reconsider major life decisions like where they live and 17% said it has made them reconsider whether or not to have children.

Three fifths (61%) of those surveyed said they had experienced anxiety, grief, or any other distress as a result of climate change concerns.


The Earth is slightly cooler than it was in 2015, the year of Paris’ landmark climate agreement.

According to the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO), this year will be the fifth-seventh hottest since records began in 1850.

Provisional data from January to September show that the global average temperature was 1.09C warmer than pre-industrial levels. The 2015 average temperature was 1.18C higher than these levels. Last year was the hottest ever recorded at 1.28C.

According to the WMO, 2021 didn’t break records due to a weather phenomenon called La Nina (Pacific), in which the circulation and cooling of ocean waters helped cool the atmosphere.